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Survivor · Season 40 · Winners at War · Feb 2020 – May 2020

Survivor 40: Winners at WarTony Vlachos won Survivor 40.

Spoiler-safe. The story of the season is hidden until you've watched it.

Survivor 40: Winners at War put 20 returning players in Mamanuca Islands, Fiji for 39 days, split into two : Dakal and Sele. The tribes were reshuffled in a in Episode 5. Voted-out players could stay on the and fight their way back. On Day 21 the 11 players left into one tribe, Koru, and from then on voted-out players began joining the .

Sandra quit on Day 16. At the the 16 jurors gave Tony 12, Natalie 4, Michele 0.

Spoiler-safe. This is hidden until you've watched it.
39days in the game
20players, all returning
18
12–4–0winning jury vote
Spoiler-safe. This is hidden until you've watched it.
Final jury voteDay 39
Michele0

Each square is one 's vote for the winner.

Setting

Where it was filmed

What this shows: The island where the season was shot, the season's theme, and what each name means, where we know it.

Mamanuca Islands, Fiji

Winners at War: 20 past winners for the 20th anniversary, competing for a $2 million prize, with the Edge of Extinction back and fire tokens as an in-game currency.

  • Dakalstarting tribe
  • Selestarting tribe
  • Yaratribe after the swap
  • Korumerged tribe
  • The eighth season in a row filmed in Fiji; almost every challenge was a remake of one a winner had played before.
  • Filmed two weeks after Island of the Idols, so mentors Rob and Sandra had two weeks to prepare.
  • Because of COVID-19, there was no live reunion; Jeff Probst announced the winner over video from his garage.

Sources: Survivor: Winners at War · Koru · Wikidata Q1754342

Full season visual

The whole season on one line

What this shows: Every episode's challenges and who won them, who went home at and by how many votes, swaps, the , the jury and plays. Tap a challenge for its history.

Mamanuca Islands, FijiWinners at War: 20 past winners for the 20th anniversary, competing for a $2 million prize, with the Edge of Extinction back and fire…
Swipe sideways. Tap an episode number to open it in the episode stepper.
  1. Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
    • Amber and Natalie to Edge of Extinction
    • 2 tribal councils
    • Natalie found a hidden immunity idol.
    • Sandra was given the hidden immunity idol.
  2. Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
    • Danni to Edge of Extinction
    • Denise found a hidden immunity idol half. (×2)
    • Kim found a hidden immunity idol half. (×2)
    • Adam was given the hidden immunity idol half.
    • Sophie was given the hidden immunity idol half.
    • Denise was given the hidden immunity idol half.
  3. Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
    • Ethan to Edge of Extinction
    • Natalie found a Steal a Vote.
    • Sarah was given the Steal a Vote.
  4. Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
    • Tyson to Edge of Extinction
  5. Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
    • Tribe swap
    • Boston Rob to Edge of Extinction
    • Sophie found a hidden immunity idol half. (×2)
    • Sarah was given the hidden immunity idol half.
    • Sophie found a hidden immunity idol.
    • Sophie was given the hidden immunity idol half.
  6. Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
    • Parvati to Edge of Extinction
    • 2 tribal councils
    • Parvati voted out3–2
    • Sandra voted out1–0 · 4 votes cancelled by an idol
    • Tyson found an Idol Nullifier.
    • Parvati was given the Idol Nullifier.
    • Denise found a hidden immunity idol.
    • Denise played the hidden immunity idol for Jeremy. It turned out not to be needed.
    • Denise was given the hidden immunity idol.
    • Parvati was voted out still holding the Idol Nullifier.
    • Denise played the hidden immunity idol. It cancelled 4 votes.
  7. Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
    • Yul to Edge of Extinction
    • Yul voted out3–1
  8. Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
    • Merge: Koru
    • Tyson won a way back into the game from the Edge of Extinction.
    • Wendell to Edge of Extinction
  9. Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
    • Adam to Edge of Extinction
    • Adam voted out8–2–1
    • Michele found a hidden immunity idol.
  10. Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
    • Tyson to Edge of Extinction
    • Tyson voted out5–2–0 · 2 votes cancelled by an idol
    • Kim found a hidden immunity idol.
    • Kim played the hidden immunity idol for Denise. It turned out not to be needed.
    • Kim was given the hidden immunity idol half.
    • Sarah played the Steal a Vote on Denise. It worked.
  11. Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
    • Sophie to Edge of Extinction
    • Tony found a hidden immunity idol.
    • Sophie was voted out still holding the hidden immunity idol.
  12. Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
    • Kim to Edge of Extinction
    • Kim voted out5–3
    • Ben found a hidden immunity idol.
    • Jeremy was given the hidden immunity idol.
  13. Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
    • Jeremy and Nick to Edge of Extinction
    • 2 tribal councils
    • Jeremy voted out3–2–0 · 2 votes cancelled by an idol
    • Nick voted out4–2
    • Michele was given the hidden immunity idol.
    • Michele played the hidden immunity idol. It turned out not to be needed.
  14. Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
    • Natalie won a way back into the game from the Edge of Extinction.
    • 3 tribal councils
    • Jury starts
    • Finale
    • Natalie found a hidden immunity idol. (×2)
    • Tony played the hidden immunity idol. It turned out not to be needed.
    • Ben played the hidden immunity idol. It turned out not to be needed.
    • Natalie played the hidden immunity idol. It cancelled 4 votes.
    • Natalie played the hidden immunity idol. It turned out not to be needed.
Previously on…Survivor 40 Episodes 1–13

Loading the catch-up…

Written automatically from the season data, up to Episode 13. Nothing after that point is used.

Episode 14 recap

Making the card…

Episode 14, Day 38: Denise voted out 4; Ben voted out 3–2. 3 players left.

After Episode 14 · Day 38
Title hidden“It All Boils Down to This” · aired May 13, 2020
mergeTap a number to rewind
Situation report

Where the game stands

What this shows: The state of the game at the end of the episode picked above.

38 / 39day of the game
3finalists faced the jury
16 / 16 so far
0secret held right now
Stage of the game, by episode
Starting tribes

Game over. Tony won the jury vote 12–4–0.

Episode 14 · Day 38

Episode 14“It All Boils Down to This”

What this shows: The key events of this one episode, pulled from the vote, challenge and advantage records.

  • Michele, Tony and Natalie won individual .
  • Natalie found a . (×2)
  • Tony played the . It turned out not to be needed.
  • Ben played the . It turned out not to be needed.
  • Natalie played the . It cancelled 4 votes.
  • Natalie played the . It turned out not to be needed.
  • Amber left the and joins the .
  • Danni left the and joins the .
  • Ethan left the and joins the .
  • Boston Rob left the and joins the .
  • Parvati left the and joins the .
  • Yul left the and joins the .
  • Wendell left the and joins the .
  • Adam left the and joins the .
  • Tyson left the and joins the .
  • Sophie left the and joins the .
  • Kim left the and joins the .
  • Jeremy left the and joins the .
  • Nick left the and joins the .
  • Denise voted out 4–0. Joins the .
  • Ben voted out 3–2. Joins the .
  • Sarah lost the and went home. Joins the .
  • Natalie won a way back into the game from the .
  • Tony won the 12–4–0 and is the .
Cast status

Who's still playing

What this shows: All 20 castaways, split into who is still in the game, who is on the , and who left before the jury began. The ring is the player's at that point. Tap a player to follow them across every panel (their profile is one tap away in the Following chip).

KoruSeleDakalYaraadv holding an
Final 33
On the 16
Out before the jury1
Votes

Who got written down

What this shows: How many times each player's name was written on a ballot at , up to this episode. Switch to the table for votes cast, how often they voted with the majority, wins and days lasted. Tap a player to follow them.

  • Still in the game
  • Already out
Votes

Who controlled the votes

What this shows: One square per up to this episode: filled when the player's final vote named the person sent home. Lots of filled squares means they were usually in the majority.

Showing Ben, most often in the majority so far (11 of 13). Tap any player on the page to follow someone else.

Numbers are episodes. Tap a square for that vote.

Tribal council log

Every vote, newest first

What this shows: Each up to this episode, in a sentence, then each name that got votes with the people who wrote it. The person sent home is in orange; struck-through names were cancelled by an .

  1. Day39

    Tony wins 12–4–0

    · Episode 14 · the jury votes for a winner

    12
    4
    0no votes
  2. Day38

    Sarah loses at fire

    Episode 14 · Merged tribe (Koru) · 4th place

    Natalie had and was safe. Michele was also kept safe. Tony beat Sarah in the , so Sarah went home.

  3. Day37

    Ben voted out 3–2

    Episode 14 · Merged tribe (Koru) · 5th place

    Ben was voted out with 3 of 5 votes. The rest went to Michele (2).

    3
    2
    • Safe with : Tony.
  4. Day36

    Denise voted out 4–0

    Episode 14 · Merged tribe (Koru) · 6th place

    The first vote was a : . In the revote, Denise was voted out 4–0.

    First vote (tie)
    0
    0
    Revote
    4
    • Safe with : Michele.
    • 4 votes against Natalie didn't count because Natalie played an .
    • 2 votes against Ben didn't count because Ben played an .
  5. Day34

    Nick voted out 4–2

    Episode 13 · Merged tribe (Koru) · 7th place

    Nick was voted out with 4 of 6 votes. The rest went to Denise (2).

    4
    2
    • Safe with : Michele.
    • Nick went to the instead of going home.
  6. Day31

    Jeremy voted out 3–2

    Episode 13 · Merged tribe (Koru) · 8th place

    Jeremy was voted out with 3 of 5 votes. The rest went to Ben (2).

    3
    2
    0
    • Safe with : Nick.
    • 2 votes against Michele didn't count because Michele played an .
    • Jeremy went to the instead of going home.
Alliances and voting blocs

Who voted with whom

What this shows: Each circle is a castaway, coloured by starting . A line joins two players who wrote down the same name at , thicker the more often, up to this episode. Tap a player to follow them, or a named to see its members.

20 players, 104 ties. Strongest ties: Tony and Ben (9), Ben and Denise (7), Tony and Sarah (7). Each player is a button: press Enter to follow them.

  • Dakal
  • Sele
  • Out of the game by now
  • Winner

Named alliances

Tap a player to see who they voted with most. Tap empty space to clear.

From the Survivor WikiAlliance details · 1

When each named alliance formed and ended, and how often its members actually voted the same way. Faded = not formed yet or already over at this episode; grey names are out of the game.

  1. Cops-R-Us

    Active

    Formed Episode 2 (Day 5) · lasted to the end

    Tony and Sarah renewed their partnership from Cagayan and made it the dominant force of Winners at War. Affiliates such as Ben, Denise, Nick, Sandra and Sophie worked with them at different times.

    Natalie sent Sarah to the fire-making challenge against Tony to split the pair; Tony won it and then the season.

    Voted together at 6/11 tribal councils they attendedSource: survivor.fandom.com ↗

Threat meter · Episode 14

Who was in danger

What this shows: before each , the 5 players a simple score ranked most at risk, and whether the person voted out was one of them. Tap a name to follow them.

Simple model · not a prediction

Going into the vote in Episode 14: 3 players at risk, Natalie and Tony and Michele safe with immunity.

Denise was voted out (1st on our list). Not counted in the hit rate: only 3 people were at risk, so any top 5 would include them.

60%hit rate this season: the person who left was in our top 5 at 6 of 10 votes
58%by chance: 5 random names would catch about 5.8
How this is scored
Danger score inputs and points
InputPoints
Votes received so farper vote that counted, all season (a revote counts once)+1
Votes at their last tribalper vote against them at the last tribal council they went to+2
Individual immunity winsper win so far: winners are seen as threats+2
Holding an idol or advantageif they hold one going in: they can protect themselves−2
Voted on the losing sideif their vote at their last tribal didn't go to the person sent home+3

Scored after the challenge and before the vote: whoever won immunity is safe and left out. Only things that already happened count. Ties are listed A to Z. A vote counts toward the hit rate when more than 5 people were at risk and at least one of them had a score.

This is a simple model, not a prediction engine: it can't see alliances forming, camp life, idols nobody knows about or who is seen as a jury threat. The “by chance” number is what picking 5 names at random would score on the same votes.

Blindside index · whole season

Biggest blindside of the season

What this shows: the vote-out that scores highest on our index so far: idols in their pocket, allies who turned on them, their own vote and how one-sided it was.

10.4score
  • 6 allies voted them out: Adam, Ben, Denise, Ethan, Parvati, Boston Rob+6
  • They voted for Parvati+2
  • A one-sided 8–1 vote+2.4

Next biggest: Adam (Ep 9, 9.5) · Sophie (Ep 11, 9.3)

How this is scored
Blindside score inputs and points
InputPoints
Idols or advantages in their pocketper idol or advantage they went home holding×4
Allies who voted them outper voter in an alliance with them, or on their side of a split vote at their last shared tribal×1
They voted for someone elseif their own vote went to another player×2
How one-sided the vote wasx (their votes - next highest) / all votes, so 0 to 3×3
An idol flipped the voteif cancelled votes would have sent someone else home×3

A simple, documented score from the vote records. It can't know what players were told at camp or in the house; it only reads the votes.

Every blindside ranked →
The edit

Who the edit focused on

What this shows: Each square is one player in one episode, darker when they got more (talking to camera). Sorted by confessionals up to this episode. Fans read a big edit as a sign of whose story it is. Counts from survivoR.

Through Episode 14: Tony had the most (73, 13%). The winner, Tony, had 73 (13%), the most.

Player1234567891011121314Total
73
40
38
37
37
35
33
29
29
28
26
22

Hover or tap a square for the count. Tap a name to follow that player.

Analyst corner

What the experts said

What this shows: Podcasts and videos from Rob Has a Podcast (including Taran Armstrong's analysis), plus official CBS clips, about the episode you picked and the season as a whole. Links open on their site; a video only loads from youtube-nocookie.com when you press Watch.

About the season5 of 143

Watch officially:CBS episodes Paramount+ episodes

Spoiler-safe. How the jury voted is hidden until you've watched it.
Jury management

How the jury voted

What this shows: Each , in the order they joined the jury: how they left, who voted them out, and which they voted for to win. ● is their vote; ✕ marks a finalist who helped send them home.

12/16Tony's share of the jury (75%)
6/16jurors voted for someone who helped get them out
Jurors (rows) against finalists (columns): ● marks the juror's vote, ✕ a finalist who helped get them out.
Juror
voted for Tony
voted for TonyMichele helped get them out
voted for NatalieMichele helped get them out
voted for Tony
voted for Natalie
voted for TonyMichele helped get them out
voted for Tony; Tony helped get them out
voted for Tony; Tony helped get them outMichele helped get them out
Tony helped get them outvoted for NatalieMichele helped get them out
voted for Tony; Tony helped get them outMichele helped get them out
voted for Tony; Tony helped get them out
Tony helped get them outvoted for Natalie
voted for Tony; Tony helped get them out
voted for Tony; Tony helped get them outNatalie helped get them outMichele helped get them out
voted for TonyNatalie helped get them outMichele helped get them out
voted for Tony

“Helped” means wrote their name down at the Tribal Council where they left.

Glossary

Survivor words, explained

What this shows: The show's terms in plain English. Any underlined word on this page opens the same explanation when you tap it.

All the rules →
Jury

Players knocked out late in the game. They stay on to watch the rest of it, and at the finale they vote for who wins.

Rules of the game →

Finalist

One of the last two or three players, who face the jury's vote for the win.

Rules of the game →

Returning player

Someone who had already played the show (or the other show) before this season.

Boot

Fan slang for a player being voted out or evicted. "First boot" means the first person out.

Rules of the game →

Blindside

A player is voted out without seeing it coming, usually because their allies voted against them.

Rules of the game →

Confessional (the edit)

A short interview to camera, away from the other players, cut into the episode. Fans count them to see whose story the editors are telling.

Tribe

The team a castaway lives and competes with before the merge. Each tribe has its own camp and colour.

Rules of the game →

Tribal council

The meeting where players vote someone out. Each player secretly writes down a name; whoever gets the most votes leaves the game.

Rules of the game →

Immunity

Protection from being voted out at the next tribal council. Tribes win it as a group early on; after the merge, one player wins it in a challenge.

Rules of the game →

Hidden immunity idol (idol)

A hidden object a player can find and play at tribal council after the votes are cast. Votes against the protected player don't count.

Rules of the game →

Advantage

A secret power found around camp or on a trip, such as an extra vote or the chance to block someone's vote.

Rules of the game →

Tribe swap

The players are reshuffled into new tribes, which splits up old loyalties.

Rules of the game →

Merge

The point where the tribes join into one. From then on everyone competes for themselves and immunity is individual.

Rules of the game →

Mergatory

Fan nickname for the stretch just before or around the merge, when the game is in limbo between tribes and individual play.

Rules of the game →

Final tribal council (FTC)

The last vote of the season. The finalists make their case and the jury votes for who should win.

Rules of the game →

Sole Survivor

The winner of a Survivor season.

Rules of the game →

Shot in the Dark

A one-time gamble at tribal council: a player gives up their vote for a small chance (about 1 in 6) of being safe.

Rules of the game →

Fire-making challenge

At the final four, the player with immunity is safe and picks one other to be safe. The last two race to build a fire, and the loser goes home.

Rules of the game →

Split vote

The majority spreads its votes across two names on purpose, so an idol can't save everyone. If an idol saves one name, the other still goes home.

Rules of the game →

Tie and revote

If two players get the same number of votes, everyone except them votes again between the tied players.

Rules of the game →

Medical evacuation (medevac)

A player is removed from the game by the medical team. No vote happens.

Rules of the game →

Alliance

A group of players who agree to vote together and protect each other. Alliances are secret, often shift, and are named by the players or by fans.

Voting bloc

Players who keep writing down the same name. We work blocs out from the vote records alone, so a bloc hints at an alliance without proving one.

Redemption Island

A twist where voted-out players go to a separate island instead of home. They fight in duels, the loser of each duel is out for good, and the last one standing returns to the game.

Edge of Extinction

A twist where voted-out players can stay on a bare island instead of going home. They can later win a challenge to get back into the game, and those who stay still vote on the jury.

Exile Island

A separate camp where a player is sent alone for a while, often with a clue to a hidden idol. They are still in the game and come back for the next challenge.

Rock draw

If a revote is still tied and the players can't agree, everyone not tied or immune draws a rock. Whoever draws the odd-coloured rock goes home.

Game data: survivoR (MIT) by Daniel Oehm · github.com/doehm/survivoRAlliances and settings: summaries in our own words of Survivor Wiki and Wikipedia pages (CC BY-SA), linked on each card. Analyst links: Rob Has a Podcast. Cast photos © CBS, hotlinked for personal review.

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