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Survivor · Season 15 · China · Sep 2007 – Dec 2007

Survivor 15: ChinaTodd Herzog won Survivor 15.

Spoiler-safe. The story of the season is hidden until you've watched it.

Survivor 15: China put 16 new castaways in Zhelin, Jiujiang, Jiangxi, China for 39 days, split into two : Fei Long and Zhan Hu. The tribes were reshuffled in a in Episode 5. On Day 21 the 10 players left into one tribe, Hae Da Fung, and from then on voted-out players began joining the .

At the the 7 jurors gave Todd 4, Courtney 2, Amanda 1.

Spoiler-safe. This is hidden until you've watched it.
39days in the game
16castaways
13
4–2–1winning jury vote
Spoiler-safe. This is hidden until you've watched it.
Final jury voteDay 39

Each square is one 's vote for the winner.

Setting

Where it was filmed

What this shows: The island where the season was shot, the season's theme, and what each name means, where we know it.

Mount Lu West Sea, Jiujiang, ChinaJiujiang, Jiangxi

Chinese culture shaped the camps, challenges and Tribal Council; tribes began after a Buddhist ceremony and each was handed a copy of "The Art of War".

  • Fei Longstarting tribe
  • Zhan Hustarting tribe
  • Hae Da Fungmerged tribeLiterally "black big wind", i.e. "black typhoon", in Chinese.
  • Jeff Probst called it the first full American TV series filmed entirely in China.
  • Each tribe's idol was hidden in plain sight as one of two plaques on the gate outside its camp.

Sources: Survivor: China · Hae Da Fung · Wikidata Q1039151

Full season visual

The whole season on one line

What this shows: Every episode's challenges and who won them, who went home at and by how many votes, swaps, the , the jury and plays. Tap a challenge for its history.

Mount Lu West Sea, Jiujiang, ChinaChinese culture shaped the camps, challenges and Tribal Council; tribes began after a Buddhist ceremony and each was handed a copy of…
Swipe sideways. Tap an episode number to open it in the episode stepper.
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  2. Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
  3. Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
  4. Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
  5. Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
    • Tribe swap
  6. Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
    • Todd found a hidden immunity idol.
    • James was given the hidden immunity idol.
  7. Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
    • Merge: Hae Da Fung
    • Jury starts
    • James found a hidden immunity idol.
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  10. Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.

    Nothing recorded for this episode.

  11. Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
    • James was voted out still holding the hidden immunity idol. (×2)
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  13. Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
  14. Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
    • Finale
Previously on…Survivor 15 Episodes 1–13

Loading the catch-up…

Written automatically from the season data, up to Episode 13. Nothing after that point is used.

Episode 14 recap

Making the card…

Episode 14, Day 38: Denise voted out 3–1. 3 players left.

After Episode 14 · Day 38
Title hidden“A Slippery Little Sucker” · aired Dec 16, 2007
mergeTap a number to rewind
Situation report

Where the game stands

What this shows: The state of the game at the end of the episode picked above.

38 / 39day of the game
3finalists faced the jury
7 / 7 so far
0secret held right now
Stage of the game, by episode
Starting tribes

Game over. Todd won the jury vote 4–2–1.

Episode 14 · Day 38

Episode 14“A Slippery Little Sucker”

What this shows: The key events of this one episode, pulled from the vote, challenge and advantage records.

  • Amanda won individual .
  • Denise voted out 3–1. Joins the .
  • Todd won the 4–2–1 and is the .
Cast status

Who's still playing

What this shows: All 16 castaways, split into who is still in the game, who is on the , and who left before the jury began. The ring is the player's at that point. Tap a player to follow them across every panel (their profile is one tap away in the Following chip).

Hae Da FungFei LongZhan Huadv holding an
Final 33
On the 7
Out before the jury6
Votes

Who got written down

What this shows: How many times each player's name was written on a ballot at , up to this episode. Switch to the table for votes cast, how often they voted with the majority, wins and days lasted. Tap a player to follow them.

  • Still in the game
  • Already out
Votes

Who controlled the votes

What this shows: One square per up to this episode: filled when the player's final vote named the person sent home. Lots of filled squares means they were usually in the majority.

Showing Todd, most often in the majority so far (9 of 9). Tap any player on the page to follow someone else.

Numbers are episodes. Tap a square for that vote.

Tribal council log

Every vote, newest first

What this shows: Each up to this episode, in a sentence, then each name that got votes with the people who wrote it. The person sent home is in orange; struck-through names were cancelled by an .

  1. Day39

    Todd wins 4–2–1

    · Episode 14 · the jury votes for a winner

    4
    2
    1
  2. Day38

    Denise voted out 3–1

    Episode 14 · Merged tribe (Hae Da Fung) · 4th place

    Denise was voted out with 3 of 4 votes. The rest went to Todd (1).

    3
    1
    • Safe with : Amanda.
  3. Day36

    Peih-Gee voted out 4–1

    Episode 13 · Merged tribe (Hae Da Fung) · 5th place

    Peih-Gee was voted out with 4 of 5 votes. The rest went to Todd (1).

    4
    1
    • Safe with : Amanda.
  4. Day33

    Erik voted out 4–2

    Episode 12 · Merged tribe (Hae Da Fung) · 6th place

    Erik was voted out with 4 of 6 votes. The rest went to Todd (2).

    4
    2
    • Safe with : Peih-Gee.
  5. Day30

    James voted out 5–1–1

    Episode 11 · Merged tribe (Hae Da Fung) · 7th place

    James was voted out with 5 of 7 votes. The rest went to Peih-Gee (1) and Todd (1).

    5
    1
    1
    • Safe with : Erik.
  6. Day27

    Frosti voted out 7–1

    Episode 9 · Merged tribe (Hae Da Fung) · 8th place

    Frosti was voted out with 7 of 8 votes. The rest went to Erik (1).

    7
    1
    • Safe with : Peih-Gee.
Alliances and voting blocs

Who voted with whom

What this shows: Each circle is a castaway, coloured by starting . A line joins two players who wrote down the same name at , thicker the more often, up to this episode. Tap a player to follow them, or a named to see its members.

16 players, 56 ties. Strongest ties: Todd and Amanda (9), Peih-Gee and Erik (8), Amanda and Denise (7). Each player is a button: press Enter to follow them.

  • Fei Long
  • Zhan Hu
  • Out of the game by now
  • Winner

Named alliances

Tap a player to see who they voted with most. Tap empty space to clear.

From the Survivor WikiAlliance details · 2

When each named alliance formed and ended, and how often its members actually voted the same way. Faded = not formed yet or already over at this episode; grey names are out of the game.

  1. Fei Long Alliance

    Active

    Formed Episode 2 (Day 4) · lasted to the end

    Todd and Amanda's Day 4 pact grew at the merge to include every Fei Long player and Frosti. Its core trio later cut allies they saw as threats.

    Todd, Courtney and Amanda reached Final Tribal Council; Todd won 4-2-1.

    Voted together at 4/9 tribal councils they attendedSource: survivor.fandom.com ↗

  2. Zhan Hu Alliance

    Over · Ep 13

    Formed Episode 5 (Day 13) · ended Episode 13 (Day 36): members picked off

    The original Zhan Hu players, left in the minority after a tribe switch that each tribe was told about separately.

    Voted out in turn by Fei Long; Peih-Gee was the last, on Day 36.

    Voted together at 5/6 tribal councils they attendedSource: survivor.fandom.com ↗

Threat meter · Episode 14

Who was in danger

What this shows: before each , the 5 players a simple score ranked most at risk, and whether the person voted out was one of them. Tap a name to follow them.

Simple model · not a prediction

Going into the vote in Episode 14: 3 players at risk, Amanda safe with immunity.

Denise was voted out (3rd on our list). Not counted in the hit rate: only 3 people were at risk, so any top 5 would include them.

86%hit rate this season: the person who left was in our top 5 at 6 of 7 votes
71%by chance: 5 random names would catch about 5.0
How this is scored
Danger score inputs and points
InputPoints
Votes received so farper vote that counted, all season (a revote counts once)+1
Votes at their last tribalper vote against them at the last tribal council they went to+2
Individual immunity winsper win so far: winners are seen as threats+2
Holding an idol or advantageif they hold one going in: they can protect themselves−2
Voted on the losing sideif their vote at their last tribal didn't go to the person sent home+3

Scored after the challenge and before the vote: whoever won immunity is safe and left out. Only things that already happened count. Ties are listed A to Z. A vote counts toward the hit rate when more than 5 people were at risk and at least one of them had a score.

This is a simple model, not a prediction engine: it can't see alliances forming, camp life, idols nobody knows about or who is seen as a jury threat. The “by chance” number is what picking 5 names at random would score on the same votes.

Blindside index · whole season

Biggest blindside of the season

What this shows: the vote-out that scores highest on our index so far: idols in their pocket, allies who turned on them, their own vote and how one-sided it was.

12.8score
  • Went home holding an idol or advantage+4
  • 5 allies voted them out: Amanda, Courtney, Denise, Erik, Todd+5
  • They voted for Peih-Gee+2
  • A one-sided 5–1–1 vote+1.8

Next biggest: Frosti (Ep 9, 9.4) · Dave (Ep 4, 9.1)

How this is scored
Blindside score inputs and points
InputPoints
Idols or advantages in their pocketper idol or advantage they went home holding×4
Allies who voted them outper voter in an alliance with them, or on their side of a split vote at their last shared tribal×1
They voted for someone elseif their own vote went to another player×2
How one-sided the vote wasx (their votes - next highest) / all votes, so 0 to 3×3
An idol flipped the voteif cancelled votes would have sent someone else home×3

A simple, documented score from the vote records. It can't know what players were told at camp or in the house; it only reads the votes.

Every blindside ranked →
The edit

Who the edit focused on

What this shows: Each square is one player in one episode, darker when they got more (talking to camera). Sorted by confessionals up to this episode. Fans read a big edit as a sign of whose story it is. Counts from survivoR.

Through Episode 14: Todd had the most (60, 16%). The winner, Todd, had 60 (16%), the most.

Player1234567891011121314Total
60
43
40
33
31
23
21
19
19
17
16
16

Hover or tap a square for the count. Tap a name to follow that player.

Analyst corner

What the experts said

What this shows: Podcasts and videos from Rob Has a Podcast (including Taran Armstrong's analysis), plus official CBS clips, about the episode you picked and the season as a whole. Links open on their site; a video only loads from youtube-nocookie.com when you press Watch.

About Episode 140

No coverage linked to this episode yet.

Watch officially:CBS episodes Paramount+ episodes

Spoiler-safe. How the jury voted is hidden until you've watched it.
Jury management

How the jury voted

What this shows: Each , in the order they joined the jury: how they left, who voted them out, and which they voted for to win. ● is their vote; ✕ marks a finalist who helped send them home.

4/7Todd's share of the jury (57%)
7/7jurors voted for someone who helped get them out
Jurors (rows) against finalists (columns): ● marks the juror's vote, ✕ a finalist who helped get them out.
Juror
voted for Todd; Todd helped get them outCourtney helped get them outAmanda helped get them out
voted for Todd; Todd helped get them outCourtney helped get them outAmanda helped get them out
voted for Todd; Todd helped get them outCourtney helped get them outAmanda helped get them out
Todd helped get them outvoted for Courtney; Courtney helped get them outAmanda helped get them out
Todd helped get them outCourtney helped get them outvoted for Amanda; Amanda helped get them out
voted for Todd; Todd helped get them outCourtney helped get them outAmanda helped get them out
Todd helped get them outvoted for Courtney; Courtney helped get them outAmanda helped get them out

“Helped” means wrote their name down at the Tribal Council where they left.

Glossary

Survivor words, explained

What this shows: The show's terms in plain English. Any underlined word on this page opens the same explanation when you tap it.

All the rules →
Jury

Players knocked out late in the game. They stay on to watch the rest of it, and at the finale they vote for who wins.

Rules of the game →

Finalist

One of the last two or three players, who face the jury's vote for the win.

Rules of the game →

Returning player

Someone who had already played the show (or the other show) before this season.

Boot

Fan slang for a player being voted out or evicted. "First boot" means the first person out.

Rules of the game →

Blindside

A player is voted out without seeing it coming, usually because their allies voted against them.

Rules of the game →

Confessional (the edit)

A short interview to camera, away from the other players, cut into the episode. Fans count them to see whose story the editors are telling.

Tribe

The team a castaway lives and competes with before the merge. Each tribe has its own camp and colour.

Rules of the game →

Tribal council

The meeting where players vote someone out. Each player secretly writes down a name; whoever gets the most votes leaves the game.

Rules of the game →

Immunity

Protection from being voted out at the next tribal council. Tribes win it as a group early on; after the merge, one player wins it in a challenge.

Rules of the game →

Hidden immunity idol (idol)

A hidden object a player can find and play at tribal council after the votes are cast. Votes against the protected player don't count.

Rules of the game →

Advantage

A secret power found around camp or on a trip, such as an extra vote or the chance to block someone's vote.

Rules of the game →

Tribe swap

The players are reshuffled into new tribes, which splits up old loyalties.

Rules of the game →

Merge

The point where the tribes join into one. From then on everyone competes for themselves and immunity is individual.

Rules of the game →

Mergatory

Fan nickname for the stretch just before or around the merge, when the game is in limbo between tribes and individual play.

Rules of the game →

Final tribal council (FTC)

The last vote of the season. The finalists make their case and the jury votes for who should win.

Rules of the game →

Sole Survivor

The winner of a Survivor season.

Rules of the game →

Shot in the Dark

A one-time gamble at tribal council: a player gives up their vote for a small chance (about 1 in 6) of being safe.

Rules of the game →

Fire-making challenge

At the final four, the player with immunity is safe and picks one other to be safe. The last two race to build a fire, and the loser goes home.

Rules of the game →

Split vote

The majority spreads its votes across two names on purpose, so an idol can't save everyone. If an idol saves one name, the other still goes home.

Rules of the game →

Tie and revote

If two players get the same number of votes, everyone except them votes again between the tied players.

Rules of the game →

Medical evacuation (medevac)

A player is removed from the game by the medical team. No vote happens.

Rules of the game →

Alliance

A group of players who agree to vote together and protect each other. Alliances are secret, often shift, and are named by the players or by fans.

Voting bloc

Players who keep writing down the same name. We work blocs out from the vote records alone, so a bloc hints at an alliance without proving one.

Redemption Island

A twist where voted-out players go to a separate island instead of home. They fight in duels, the loser of each duel is out for good, and the last one standing returns to the game.

Edge of Extinction

A twist where voted-out players can stay on a bare island instead of going home. They can later win a challenge to get back into the game, and those who stay still vote on the jury.

Exile Island

A separate camp where a player is sent alone for a while, often with a clue to a hidden idol. They are still in the game and come back for the next challenge.

Rock draw

If a revote is still tied and the players can't agree, everyone not tied or immune draws a rock. Whoever draws the odd-coloured rock goes home.

Game data: survivoR (MIT) by Daniel Oehm · github.com/doehm/survivoRAlliances and settings: summaries in our own words of Survivor Wiki and Wikipedia pages (CC BY-SA), linked on each card. Analyst links: Rob Has a Podcast. Cast photos © CBS, hotlinked for personal review.

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