Survivor 12: PanamaAras Baskauskas won Survivor 12.
Survivor 12: Panama put 16 new castaways in Pearl Islands, Panama for 39 days, split into four : Bayoneta, Casaya, La Mina and Viveros. The tribes were reshuffled in a in Episode 2. On Day 18 the 10 players left into one tribe, Gitanos, and from then on voted-out players began joining the .
Bruce left by on Day 25. At the the 7 jurors gave Aras 5, Danielle 2.
Where it was filmed
What this shows: The island where the season was shot, the season's theme, and what each name means, where we know it.
Pearl Islands, PanamaPearl Islands
Subtitled "Exile Island": players were banished alone to a separate island where clues led to a Hidden Immunity Idol. The look drew on headhunting culture from Central and South America.
- Bayonetastarting tribeInformally the "Younger Women" tribe.
- Casayastarting tribeInformally the "Older Women" tribe at the start.
- La Minastarting tribeInformally the "Older Men" tribe.
- Viverosstarting tribeInformally the "Younger Men" tribe.
- Gitanosmerged tribe
- The Tribal Council set was a foam cave built around trees the Panamanian government wanted preserved, with candle flames production could turn up.
Sources: Survivor: Panama · Bayoneta · Casaya · La Mina
The whole season on one line
What this shows: Every episode's challenges and who won them, who went home at and by how many votes, swaps, the , the jury and plays. Tap a challenge for its history.
- Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
- RewardSkull CrushCasayaLa MinaViveros
- Immunity4x4BayonetaLa MinaViveros
- Tina voted out3–1
- RewardSkull Crush
- Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
- Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
RewardCross FireLa Mina
ImmunityBattle DigCasaya
- Misty voted out5–2
- Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
- Ruth Marie voted out4–2
- ◆Terry found a super idol.
- Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
RewardFor Cod's SakeCasaya- ImmunityBuried At SeaLa Mina
- Bobby voted out3–2–1–1
- Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
- Dan voted out3–1
- Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
Nothing recorded for this episode.
- Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
- Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
- Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
RewardGet Hooked
4 winners
ImmunityMarine MemoryTerry
- Sally voted out6–2
- Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
RewardVoo DooCirie
- Bruce medically evacuated
- Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
RewardThe Key Of Sea
3 winners- ImmunityHold Your OwnTerry
- Courtney voted out3–2–1
- Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
RewardSecond ChanceTerry
ImmunityVertigoTerry
- Shane voted out3–1–1
- Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
- Cirie lost fire-making
- Spoiler-safe. The rest of the season is hidden until you've watched it.
Episode 15, Day 38: Terry voted out 1. 2 players left.
Where the game stands
What this shows: The state of the game at the end of the episode picked above.
Game over. Aras won the jury vote 5–2.
Episode 15“The Final Showdown”
What this shows: The key events of this one episode, pulled from the vote, challenge and advantage records.
- Danielle won individual .
- Terry voted out by Danielle. Joins the .
- Aras won the 5–2 and is the .
Who's still playing
What this shows: All 16 castaways, split into who is still in the game, who is on the , and who left before the jury began. The ring is the player's at that point. Tap a player to follow them across every panel (their profile is one tap away in the Following chip).
Who got written down
What this shows: How many times each player's name was written on a ballot at , up to this episode. Switch to the table for votes cast, how often they voted with the majority, wins and days lasted. Tap a player to follow them.
- Still in the game
- Already out
| 9 | 8 | 75% | 1 | 38 | |
| 9 | 7 | 57% | 0 | 33 | |
| 8 | 5 | 20% | 0 | 24 | |
| 7 | 5 | 60% | 0 | 21 | |
| 6 | 4 | 75% | 0 | 18 | |
| 6 | 3 | 67% | 0 | 11 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 8 | |
| 5 | 2 | 50% | 0 | 6 | |
| 4 | 9 | 100% | 1 | 38 | |
| 4 | 6 | 83% | 0 | 30 | |
| 3 | 9 | 78% | 0 | 36 | |
| 3 | 3 | 33% | 0 | 15 | |
| 3 | 2 | 50% | 0 | 14 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 3 | |
| 2 | 4 | 75% | 0 | 25 | |
| 1 | 9 | 44% | 5 | 38 |
Who controlled the votes
What this shows: One square per up to this episode: filled when the player's final vote named the person sent home. Lots of filled squares means they were usually in the majority.
Showing Danielle, most often in the majority so far (9 of 9). Tap any player on the page to follow someone else.
Numbers are episodes. Tap a square for that vote.
Every vote, newest first
What this shows: Each up to this episode, in a sentence, then each name that got votes with the people who wrote it. The person sent home is in orange; struck-through names were cancelled by an .
- Day39
Aras wins 5–2
· Episode 15 · the jury votes for a winner
52 - Day38
Terry voted out by Danielle
Episode 15 · Merged tribe (Gitanos) · 3rd place
Danielle cast the only vote and sent Terry home.
1- Safe with : Danielle.
- Day36
Cirie loses at fire
Episode 14 · Merged tribe (Gitanos) · 4th place
Danielle beat Cirie in the , so Cirie went home.
Vote before the tiebreak22 - Day33
Shane voted out 3–1–1
Episode 13 · Merged tribe (Gitanos) · 5th place
Shane was voted out with 3 of 5 votes. The rest went to Danielle (1) and Aras (1).
311- Safe with : Terry.
- Day30
Courtney voted out 3–2–1
Episode 12 · Merged tribe (Gitanos) · 6th place
Courtney was voted out with 3 of 6 votes. The rest went to Aras (2) and Danielle (1).
321- Safe with : Terry.
- Day24
Sally voted out 6–2
Episode 10 · Merged tribe (Gitanos) · 8th place
Sally was voted out with 6 of 8 votes. The rest went to Aras (2).
62- Safe with : Terry.
Who voted with whom
What this shows: Each circle is a castaway, coloured by starting . A line joins two players who wrote down the same name at , thicker the more often, up to this episode. Tap a player to follow them, or a named to see its members.
- Viveros
- Bayoneta
- La Mina
- Casaya
- Out of the game by now
- Winner
Named alliances
Tap a player to see who they voted with most. Tap empty space to clear.
From the Survivor WikiAlliance details · 2
When each named alliance formed and ended, and how often its members actually voted the same way. Faded = not formed yet or already over at this episode; grey names are out of the game.
Casaya Alliance
ActiveFormed Episode 2 (Day 4) · lasted to the end
Shane formed it on Day 4 with Aras, Courtney and Danielle. After the shuffle all six remaining Casaya players joined, and all six reached the final seven.
Danielle won final immunity and broke her deal with Terry; Aras beat her 5-2.
Voted together at 4/6 tribal councils they attendedSource: survivor.fandom.com ↗
La Mina Alliance
ActiveFormed Episode 2 (Day 4) · ended Episode 15 (Day 38): members picked off
The men of the post-shuffle La Mina tribe, joined by Sally at the merge out of necessity.
Picked off one by one after the merge; Terry reached the final three on his immunity run and idol.
Voted together at 4/6 tribal councils they attendedSource: survivor.fandom.com ↗
Who was in danger
What this shows: before each , the 5 players a simple score ranked most at risk, and whether the person voted out was one of them. Tap a name to follow them.
Going into the vote in Episode 15: 1 player at risk, Danielle safe with immunity.
Terry was voted out (1st on our list). Not counted in the hit rate: only 1 person was at risk, so any top 5 would include them.
How this is scored
| Input | Points |
|---|---|
| Votes received so farper vote that counted, all season (a revote counts once) | +1 |
| Votes at their last tribalper vote against them at the last tribal council they went to | +2 |
| Individual immunity winsper win so far: winners are seen as threats | +2 |
| Holding an idol or advantageif they hold one going in: they can protect themselves | −2 |
| Voted on the losing sideif their vote at their last tribal didn't go to the person sent home | +3 |
Scored after the challenge and before the vote: whoever won immunity is safe and left out. Only things that already happened count. Ties are listed A to Z. A vote counts toward the hit rate when more than 5 people were at risk and at least one of them had a score.
This is a simple model, not a prediction engine: it can't see alliances forming, camp life, idols nobody knows about or who is seen as a jury threat. The “by chance” number is what picking 5 names at random would score on the same votes.
Biggest blindside of the season
What this shows: the vote-out that scores highest on our index so far: idols in their pocket, allies who turned on them, their own vote and how one-sided it was.
- 3 allies voted them out: Austin, Nick, Terry+3
- They voted for Austin+2
- A one-sided 3–1 vote+1.5
Next biggest: Ruth Marie (Ep 4, 5.9) · Courtney (Ep 12, 5.6)
How this is scored
| Input | Points |
|---|---|
| Idols or advantages in their pocketper idol or advantage they went home holding | ×4 |
| Allies who voted them outper voter in an alliance with them, or on their side of a split vote at their last shared tribal | ×1 |
| They voted for someone elseif their own vote went to another player | ×2 |
| How one-sided the vote wasx (their votes - next highest) / all votes, so 0 to 3 | ×3 |
| An idol flipped the voteif cancelled votes would have sent someone else home | ×3 |
A simple, documented score from the vote records. It can't know what players were told at camp or in the house; it only reads the votes.
Who the edit focused on
What this shows: Each square is one player in one episode, darker when they got more (talking to camera). Sorted by confessionals up to this episode. Fans read a big edit as a sign of whose story it is. Counts from survivoR.
Through Episode 15: Cirie had the most (61, 15%). The winner, Aras, had 44 (11%), 3rd most.
Hover or tap a square for the count. Tap a name to follow that player.
What the experts said
What this shows: Podcasts and videos from Rob Has a Podcast (including Taran Armstrong's analysis), plus official CBS clips, about the episode you picked and the season as a whole. Links open on their site; a video only loads from youtube-nocookie.com when you press Watch.
No coverage linked to this episode yet.
- RHAPEvolution of StrategyMay 30, 2015TEOS Chapter 12, Survivor: Panama is Available NOW
- RHAPTEOS FeedbackMay 28, 2015Evolution of Strategy: Chapter 12 Feedback | Survivor: Panama
Watch officially:CBS episodes Paramount+ episodes
How the jury voted
What this shows: Each , in the order they joined the jury: how they left, who voted them out, and which they voted for to win. ● is their vote; ✕ marks a finalist who helped send them home.
| Juror | ||
|---|---|---|
| voted for Aras; Aras helped get them out | Danielle helped get them out | |
| voted for Aras; Aras helped get them out | Danielle helped get them out | |
| voted for Danielle | ||
| voted for Aras; Aras helped get them out | Danielle helped get them out | |
| Aras helped get them out | voted for Danielle; Danielle helped get them out | |
| voted for Aras | Danielle helped get them out | |
| voted for Aras | Danielle helped get them out |
“Helped” means wrote their name down at the Tribal Council where they left.
Survivor words, explained
What this shows: The show's terms in plain English. Any underlined word on this page opens the same explanation when you tap it.
Jury
Players knocked out late in the game. They stay on to watch the rest of it, and at the finale they vote for who wins.
Finalist
One of the last two or three players, who face the jury's vote for the win.
Returning player
Someone who had already played the show (or the other show) before this season.
Boot
Fan slang for a player being voted out or evicted. "First boot" means the first person out.
Blindside
A player is voted out without seeing it coming, usually because their allies voted against them.
Confessional (the edit)
A short interview to camera, away from the other players, cut into the episode. Fans count them to see whose story the editors are telling.
Tribe
The team a castaway lives and competes with before the merge. Each tribe has its own camp and colour.
Tribal council
The meeting where players vote someone out. Each player secretly writes down a name; whoever gets the most votes leaves the game.
Immunity
Protection from being voted out at the next tribal council. Tribes win it as a group early on; after the merge, one player wins it in a challenge.
Hidden immunity idol (idol)
A hidden object a player can find and play at tribal council after the votes are cast. Votes against the protected player don't count.
Advantage
A secret power found around camp or on a trip, such as an extra vote or the chance to block someone's vote.
Tribe swap
The players are reshuffled into new tribes, which splits up old loyalties.
Merge
The point where the tribes join into one. From then on everyone competes for themselves and immunity is individual.
Mergatory
Fan nickname for the stretch just before or around the merge, when the game is in limbo between tribes and individual play.
Final tribal council (FTC)
The last vote of the season. The finalists make their case and the jury votes for who should win.
Shot in the Dark
A one-time gamble at tribal council: a player gives up their vote for a small chance (about 1 in 6) of being safe.
Fire-making challenge
At the final four, the player with immunity is safe and picks one other to be safe. The last two race to build a fire, and the loser goes home.
Split vote
The majority spreads its votes across two names on purpose, so an idol can't save everyone. If an idol saves one name, the other still goes home.
Tie and revote
If two players get the same number of votes, everyone except them votes again between the tied players.
Medical evacuation (medevac)
A player is removed from the game by the medical team. No vote happens.
Alliance
A group of players who agree to vote together and protect each other. Alliances are secret, often shift, and are named by the players or by fans.
Voting bloc
Players who keep writing down the same name. We work blocs out from the vote records alone, so a bloc hints at an alliance without proving one.
Redemption Island
A twist where voted-out players go to a separate island instead of home. They fight in duels, the loser of each duel is out for good, and the last one standing returns to the game.
Edge of Extinction
A twist where voted-out players can stay on a bare island instead of going home. They can later win a challenge to get back into the game, and those who stay still vote on the jury.
Exile Island
A separate camp where a player is sent alone for a while, often with a clue to a hidden idol. They are still in the game and come back for the next challenge.
Rock draw
If a revote is still tied and the players can't agree, everyone not tied or immune draws a rock. Whoever draws the odd-coloured rock goes home.